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Friday, 1 June 2012

Pre Derby Synopsis

Camelot looks a class act on looks and should take the Derby tomorrow but at this stage he is not that far ahead of his opponents on the figures to warrant such a short price. He beat a modest field for the Racing Post and did not put a lot of distance between him and the placed runners. He looked plenty fit enough before the 2,000 Guineas and still only won by a head with several of the contenders running below par on the worst ground for the Guineas in a generation. His breeding should get him the trip.
One colt in the field who knocked me over last year was Astrology. Entered in the Autumn Stakes run at HQ for the first time having been transferred from Ascot, he was Group One material beforehand but finished only third despite heavy support in the markets. I was keen to see how he came out of it this year and was delighted to see him win the Dee Stakes in facile fashion. There was not enough opposition to warrant going overboard but he went clear to confirm that he has indeed trained on. He could well be the pick tomorrow in the prelims and at 10/1 he is massive value. His breeding is superb being by Galileo out of the Group One Prix St Alary winner – Ask For The Moon. He can always be backed Each way or Win only and save with a csf on Camelot. He could not have a better pilot than Ryan Moore and I am looking forward with relish to a great contest.
I was at York to see Bonfire. Reports of his lousy attitude at home swept the Knavesmire and that was the reason for the drift in the betting. On looks he is not a big sort but well put together and very athletic. The more you look at him the more he grows on you. Main Sequence won well at Lingfield to beat the progressive Shantaram and they pulled clear. He could be in the mix but does not appeal as a winner.

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